The current rumors say that Facebook has a paper valuation of $50 billion and Twitter has one of $10 billion. Those numbers are certainly part of a mini-bubble today, but they may be supportable tomorrow. It’s interesting to note that the only service these companies do is provide a space for people to do things, a space for people to provide their own information. This is not nothing, as it involves paying for the space to host photographs and videos and for network costs. But Facebook and Twitter are not being valued for being hosting providers. They are being valued for creating a shared public space which many people choose to enter. (WordPress and LiveJournal are other examples of online companies that simply create a shared space; Google and Bing are examples of online companies which provide a service, providing real information beyond what people do on their sites.)
Is there anything comparable in the real world? The real world is full of shared public spaces, but they are not generally money making operations. I think of places like parks or shared urban spaces like Times Square. These are typically built by the government or by some public cooperative at a cost, rather than being built by a private corporation as a source of revenue.
What’s the key difference? It’s that it is much cheaper to create an online space which can hold several million people than it is to create a physical space that large. It’s cheap enough that even the relatively small returns you get from billboards may be enough to pay for creating that space. And, since it is online, you can have targeted billboards, which may pay somewhat more.
I think this becomes an interesting difference between the online world and the real world. In the online world, the shared public spaces are not paid for by society, they are paid for private companies. There is no notion of a right of public access on the Internet. There is no equivalent of the homeless person on the corner or the busker singing for change. I don’t know if these differences are good or bad.
People are already working on goggles which bring the online world into the real world, adding annotations for the objects that we look at. It will be a simple further step for these goggles to edit out the things we don’t want to see, and to add targeted billboards in their place. As the goggles would be sold by private corporations, that will bring the monetization of public spaces in the online world into the real world as well. This is obviously a very speculative idea, but it would in some ways be the logical culmination of people’s withdrawal from cities and shared society into an increasingly private life. Again, I don’t know if this would be good or bad, but if it happens it has the potential to be truly different.
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