It’s interesting that the U.S. economy has moved away from manufacturing at the same time as computers have made it very easy to copy digital goods. We see the U.S. pushing China hard to enforce their copyright laws, because much of what the U.S. has to sell is easily copied. The U.S. has developed great skill at creating complex software. That skill itself is not easily copied, based as it is on many years of experience, but the end result of applying that skill is is difficult to control. Similarly, the U.S. leads the world in developing entertaining movies, but those too can not be controlled once they have been distributed. You can enforce all the copyright laws you want, but if a digital product is both expensive and desirable, it will inevitably be copied.
Software developers have reacted by increasingly tying software to some sort of service. That is a significant business advantage for offering cloud computing: your software works without requiring distribution, which means that nobody can easily copy it. If you’re going to sell virtual goods rather than manufactured ones, it’s important to not distribute them as part of using them. In other words, you have to sell a service.
Right now the U.S. is trying to push other countries to honor the agreements it needs to sell virtual goods. I don’t see how that can work in the long run. Better to focus on selling real goods or selling services. A simple service is vulnerable to competition, but there is plenty of space for selling complex services which are difficult to develop. That seems to be the likeliest trend for successful software companies going forward. It’s even if a possible path for entertainment companies if you think in terms of games.
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